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CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Lavked#140 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HAVU#107 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageLavked pick
43%45%
Lavked · 24 mapsnearly even -2%HAVU · 7 maps
Dust2possible decider
47%44%
Lavked · 15 mapsnearly even +3%HAVU · 5 maps
NukeHAVU pick
43%80%
Lavked · 10 mapsedge HAVU +37%HAVU · 6 maps
AncientHAVU ban
50%50%
Lavked · 10 mapsnearly even +0%HAVU · 2 maps
AnubisHAVU ban
60%40%
Lavked · 11 mapsedge Lavked +20%HAVU · 1 map
InfernoLavked ban
60%50%
Lavked · 1 mapedge Lavked +10%HAVU · 4 maps
CacheLavked ban
40%29%
Lavked · 1 mapedge Lavked +11%HAVU · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLavked remove Inferno
2. BanHAVU remove Ancient
3. PickLavked take Mirage
4. PickHAVU take Nuke
5. BanHAVU remove Anubis
6. BanLavked remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (47% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Lavked 53%HAVU 47%
The model gave 53% on Lavked — the map was taken by HAVU.
Nukeprediction correct9:13
Lavked 14%HAVU 86%
The model gave 86% on HAVU — the map was taken by HAVU.
Model check result
Model favoriteHAVU · 52%
Series resultHAVU 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2