NODWIN Clutch Series 10 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Inner Circle Academy#80 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Inner Circle Academy pick
38%63%
Just Players · 20 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +25%Inner Circle Academy · 15 maps
MirageJust Players pick
53%60%
Just Players · 26 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +7%Inner Circle Academy · 6 maps
Ancientpossible decider
55%50%
Just Players · 18 mapsedge Just Players +5%Inner Circle Academy · 10 maps
NukeInner Circle Academy ban
47%46%
Just Players · 11 mapsnearly even +1%Inner Circle Academy · 9 maps
AnubisInner Circle Academy ban
71%64%
Just Players · 3 mapsedge Just Players +7%Inner Circle Academy · 7 maps
OverpassJust Players ban
56%67%
Just Players · 5 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +11%Inner Circle Academy · 2 maps
CacheJust Players ban
29%57%
Just Players · 3 mapsedge Inner Circle Academy +28%Inner Circle Academy · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanJust Players remove Cache
2. BanInner Circle Academy remove Nuke
3. PickJust Players take Mirage
4. PickInner Circle Academy take Dust2
5. BanInner Circle Academy remove Anubis
6. BanJust Players remove Overpass
DeciderAncient (55% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:11
Just Players 56%Inner Circle Academy 44%
The model gave 56% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Ancientprediction correct19:16
Just Players 58%Inner Circle Academy 42%
The model gave 58% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Model check result
Model favoriteJust Players · 54%
Series resultJust Players 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2