WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 6 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:2
CYBERSHOKE#90 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
50%54%
flacons · 2 mapsnearly even -4%CYBERSHOKE · 20 maps
AncientCYBERSHOKE pick
50%63%
flacons · 0 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +13%CYBERSHOKE · 15 maps
Mirageflacons pick
60%53%
flacons · 1 mapedge flacons +7%CYBERSHOKE · 13 maps
OverpassCYBERSHOKE ban
50%50%
flacons · 0 mapsnearly even +0%CYBERSHOKE · 8 maps
NukeCYBERSHOKE ban
50%50%
flacons · 0 mapsnearly even +0%CYBERSHOKE · 6 maps
Anubisflacons ban
40%38%
flacons · 1 mapnearly even +2%CYBERSHOKE · 4 maps
Defaultflacons ban
50%60%
flacons · 0 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +10%CYBERSHOKE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banflacons remove Anubis
2. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Overpass
3. Pickflacons take Mirage
4. PickCYBERSHOKE take Ancient
5. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Nuke
6. Banflacons remove Default
DeciderDust2 (50% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed7:13
flacons 60%CYBERSHOKE 40%
The model gave 60% on flacons — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE.
Cacheprediction correct2:13
flacons 47%CYBERSHOKE 53%
The model gave 53% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE.
Model check result
Model favoriteCYBERSHOKE · 74%
Series resultCYBERSHOKE 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2