NODWIN Clutch Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
INOX Division#66 in the world · win 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Atreides#147 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoAtreides pick
59%63%
INOX Division · 18 mapsnearly even -4%Atreides · 12 maps
Dust2Atreides ban
72%33%
INOX Division · 21 mapedge INOX Division +39%Atreides · 8 maps
NukeINOX Division pick
67%60%
INOX Division · 23 mapsedge INOX Division +7%Atreides · 6 maps
AncientINOX Division ban
65%56%
INOX Division · 13 mapsedge INOX Division +9%Atreides · 12 maps
Overpasspossible decider
56%43%
INOX Division · 12 mapsedge INOX Division +13%Atreides · 10 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
50%75%
INOX Division · 0 mapsedge Atreides +25%Atreides · 20 maps
AnubisAtreides ban
42%50%
INOX Division · 8 mapsedge Atreides +8%Atreides · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
2. BanAtreides remove Dust2
3. PickINOX Division take Nuke
4. PickAtreides take Inferno
5. BanAtreides remove Anubis
6. BanINOX Division remove Ancient
DeciderOverpass (56% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:7
INOX Division 43%Atreides 57%
The model gave 57% on Atreides — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Nukeprediction correct13:2
INOX Division 60%Atreides 40%
The model gave 60% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 60%
Series resultINOX Division 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2