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CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
EAC#76 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Atreides#147 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageAtreides pick
46%75%
EAC · 9 mapsedge Atreides +29%Atreides · 20 maps
AncientAtreides ban
43%56%
EAC · 10 mapsedge Atreides +13%Atreides · 12 maps
Nukepossible decider
38%60%
EAC · 12 mapsedge Atreides +22%Atreides · 6 maps
OverpassAtreides ban
50%43%
EAC · 8 mapsedge EAC +7%Atreides · 10 maps
InfernoEAC ban
29%63%
EAC · 3 mapsedge Atreides +34%Atreides · 12 maps
Dust2EAC ban
40%33%
EAC · 1 mapedge EAC +7%Atreides · 8 maps
DefaultEAC pick
60%55%
EAC · 1 mapedge EAC +5%Atreides · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEAC remove Dust2
2. BanAtreides remove Overpass
3. PickEAC take Default
4. PickAtreides take Mirage
5. BanAtreides remove Ancient
6. BanEAC remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (38% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:9
EAC 47%Atreides 53%
The model gave 53% on Atreides — the map was taken by EAC.
Cacheprediction correct13:8
EAC 53%Atreides 47%
The model gave 53% on EAC — the map was taken by EAC.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtreides · 51%
Series resultEAC 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2