PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Galorys#88 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Imperial#61 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Imperial ban
46%59%
Galorys · 9 mapsedge Imperial +13%Imperial · 13 maps
InfernoImperial pick
43%70%
Galorys · 3 mapsedge Imperial +27%Imperial · 19 maps
MirageGalorys ban
50%71%
Galorys · 0 mapsedge Imperial +21%Imperial · 20 maps
NukeGalorys pick
78%68%
Galorys · 5 mapsedge Galorys +10%Imperial · 15 maps
CacheGalorys ban
50%67%
Galorys · 2 mapsedge Imperial +17%Imperial · 11 maps
Anubispossible decider
55%56%
Galorys · 7 mapsnearly even -1%Imperial · 5 maps
AncientImperial ban
80%50%
Galorys · 11 mapsedge Galorys +30%Imperial · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalorys remove Mirage
2. BanImperial remove Ancient
3. PickGalorys take Nuke
4. PickImperial take Inferno
5. BanImperial remove Dust2
6. BanGalorys remove Cache
DeciderAnubis (55% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct5:13
Galorys 23%Imperial 77%
The model gave 77% on Imperial — the map was taken by Imperial.
Anubisprediction missed5:13
Galorys 52%Imperial 48%
The model gave 52% on Galorys — the map was taken by Imperial.
Model check result
Model favoriteImperial · 69%
Series resultImperial 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2