PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 North America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Chicken Coop#183 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Marsborne#84 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoMarsborne pick
45%77%
Chicken Coop · 7 mapsedge Marsborne +32%Marsborne · 9 maps
Dust2Marsborne ban
45%58%
Chicken Coop · 7 mapsedge Marsborne +13%Marsborne · 8 maps
AncientChicken Coop ban
57%69%
Chicken Coop · 3 mapsedge Marsborne +12%Marsborne · 9 maps
MirageChicken Coop ban
40%70%
Chicken Coop · 1 mapedge Marsborne +30%Marsborne · 6 maps
NukeChicken Coop pick
57%63%
Chicken Coop · 3 mapsedge Marsborne +6%Marsborne · 4 maps
AnubisMarsborne ban
50%57%
Chicken Coop · 0 mapsedge Marsborne +7%Marsborne · 3 maps
Overpasspossible decider
60%50%
Chicken Coop · 1 mapedge Chicken Coop +10%Marsborne · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanChicken Coop remove Mirage
2. BanMarsborne remove Anubis
3. PickChicken Coop take Nuke
4. PickMarsborne take Inferno
5. BanMarsborne remove Dust2
6. BanChicken Coop remove Ancient
DeciderOverpass (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Chicken Coop 47%Marsborne 53%
The model gave 53% on Marsborne — the map was taken by Marsborne.
Model check result
Model favoriteMarsborne · 62%
Series resultMarsborne 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1