PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 North America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Liquid#21 in the world · win 2:0series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisLiquid pick
67%40%
Liquid · 8 mapsedge Liquid +27%antivalue · 1 map
Cacheantivalue ban
56%50%
Liquid · 5 mapsedge Liquid +6%antivalue · 0 maps
Dust2Liquid ban
50%60%
Liquid · 4 mapsedge antivalue +10%antivalue · 1 map
Nukeantivalue ban
63%50%
Liquid · 4 mapsedge Liquid +13%antivalue · 0 maps
Infernoantivalue pick
60%60%
Liquid · 1 mapnearly even +0%antivalue · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
60%50%
Liquid · 1 mapedge Liquid +10%antivalue · 0 maps
MirageLiquid ban
60%50%
Liquid · 1 mapedge Liquid +10%antivalue · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanLiquid remove Dust2
2. Banantivalue remove Nuke
3. PickLiquid take Anubis
4. Pickantivalue take Inferno
5. Banantivalue remove Cache
6. BanLiquid remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:4
Liquid 57%antivalue 43%
The model gave 57% on Liquid — the map was taken by Liquid.
Nukeprediction correct13:5
Liquid 65%antivalue 35%
The model gave 65% on Liquid — the map was taken by Liquid.
Model check result
Model favoriteLiquid · 91%
Series resultLiquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2