CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
ENCE#112 in the world · win 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BERG#192 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageBERG ban
37%44%
ENCE · 15 mapsedge BERG +7%BERG · 5 maps
NukeENCE pick
50%50%
ENCE · 10 mapsnearly even +0%BERG · 4 maps
AncientBERG pick
50%38%
ENCE · 8 mapsedge ENCE +12%BERG · 4 maps
AnubisENCE ban
67%43%
ENCE · 5 mapsedge ENCE +24%BERG · 3 maps
InfernoENCE ban
56%60%
ENCE · 5 mapsnearly even -4%BERG · 1 map
Cachepossible decider
63%50%
ENCE · 4 mapsedge ENCE +13%BERG · 0 maps
OverpassBERG ban
50%40%
ENCE · 2 mapsedge ENCE +10%BERG · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanENCE remove Inferno
2. BanBERG remove Overpass
3. PickENCE take Nuke
4. PickBERG take Ancient
5. BanBERG remove Mirage
6. BanENCE remove Anubis
DeciderCache (63% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:5
ENCE 53%BERG 47%
The model gave 53% on ENCE — the map was taken by ENCE.
Infernoprediction missed13:10
ENCE 42%BERG 58%
The model gave 58% on BERG — the map was taken by ENCE.
Model check result
Model favoriteENCE · 51%
Series resultENCE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2