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CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
ex-Sashi Academyloss 0:2
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Noir Verse#124 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNoir Verse ban
33%42%
ex-Sashi Academy · 2 mapsedge Noir Verse +9%Noir Verse · 8 maps
NukeNoir Verse ban
60%46%
ex-Sashi Academy · 1 mapedge ex-Sashi Academy +14%Noir Verse · 9 maps
AnubisNoir Verse pick
50%45%
ex-Sashi Academy · 2 mapsedge ex-Sashi Academy +5%Noir Verse · 7 maps
Mirageex-Sashi Academy pick
50%64%
ex-Sashi Academy · 2 mapsedge Noir Verse +14%Noir Verse · 7 maps
Dust2ex-Sashi Academy ban
50%42%
ex-Sashi Academy · 0 mapsedge ex-Sashi Academy +8%Noir Verse · 8 maps
Cacheex-Sashi Academy ban
40%44%
ex-Sashi Academy · 1 mapnearly even -4%Noir Verse · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
ex-Sashi Academy · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Noir Verse · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-Sashi Academy remove Dust2
2. BanNoir Verse remove Nuke
3. Pickex-Sashi Academy take Mirage
4. PickNoir Verse take Anubis
5. BanNoir Verse remove Ancient
6. Banex-Sashi Academy remove Cache
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed2:13
ex-Sashi Academy 66%Noir Verse 34%
The model gave 66% on ex-Sashi Academy — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Dust2prediction missed7:13
ex-Sashi Academy 55%Noir Verse 45%
The model gave 55% on ex-Sashi Academy — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoir Verse · 66%
Series resultNoir Verse 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2