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CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Honvéd#144 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SAW Youngsters#143 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SAW Youngsters pick
55%50%
Honvéd · 27 mapsedge Honvéd +5%SAW Youngsters · 8 maps
MirageHonvéd pick
52%47%
Honvéd · 23 mapsedge Honvéd +5%SAW Youngsters · 11 maps
InfernoHonvéd ban
36%72%
Honvéd · 7 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +36%SAW Youngsters · 14 maps
AncientHonvéd ban
50%45%
Honvéd · 12 mapsedge Honvéd +5%SAW Youngsters · 7 maps
NukeSAW Youngsters ban
56%40%
Honvéd · 5 mapsedge Honvéd +16%SAW Youngsters · 6 maps
AnubisSAW Youngsters ban
50%50%
Honvéd · 4 mapsnearly even +0%SAW Youngsters · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
70%40%
Honvéd · 6 mapsedge Honvéd +30%SAW Youngsters · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanHonvéd remove Inferno
2. BanSAW Youngsters remove Nuke
3. PickHonvéd take Mirage
4. PickSAW Youngsters take Dust2
5. BanSAW Youngsters remove Anubis
6. BanHonvéd remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (70% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
Honvéd 58%SAW Youngsters 42%
The model gave 58% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Anubisprediction correct8:13
Honvéd 47%SAW Youngsters 53%
The model gave 53% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Dust2prediction correct13:5
Honvéd 55%SAW Youngsters 45%
The model gave 55% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Model check result
Model favoriteSAW Youngsters · 51%
Series resultHonvéd 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3