CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Noir Verse#124 in the world · win 2:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
LPH#150 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Noir Verse ban
46%64%
Noir Verse · 9 mapsedge LPH +18%LPH · 7 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%50%
Noir Verse · 10 mapsnearly even +0%LPH · 6 maps
AncientLPH pick
42%55%
Noir Verse · 8 mapsedge LPH +13%LPH · 7 maps
AnubisNoir Verse pick
45%50%
Noir Verse · 7 mapsedge LPH +5%LPH · 4 maps
MirageLPH ban
64%50%
Noir Verse · 7 mapsedge Noir Verse +14%LPH · 0 maps
InfernoNoir Verse ban
40%67%
Noir Verse · 1 mapedge LPH +27%LPH · 5 maps
CacheLPH ban
44%50%
Noir Verse · 5 mapsedge LPH +6%LPH · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNoir Verse remove Inferno
2. BanLPH remove Mirage
3. PickNoir Verse take Anubis
4. PickLPH take Ancient
5. BanLPH remove Cache
6. BanNoir Verse remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:4
Noir Verse 47%LPH 53%
The model gave 53% on LPH — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Ancientprediction missed13:7
Noir Verse 35%LPH 65%
The model gave 65% on LPH — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Model check result
Model favoriteLPH · 60%
Series resultNoir Verse 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2