CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
WBT#108 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
mellren#94 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2WBT ban
54%56%
WBT · 9 mapsnearly even -2%mellren · 5 maps
Ancientpossible decider
55%56%
WBT · 7 mapsnearly even -1%mellren · 5 maps
Miragemellren pick
64%75%
WBT · 7 mapsedge mellren +11%mellren · 4 maps
AnubisWBT pick
62%60%
WBT · 9 mapsnearly even +2%mellren · 1 map
InfernoWBT ban
50%56%
WBT · 0 mapsedge mellren +6%mellren · 5 maps
Nukemellren ban
57%50%
WBT · 3 mapsedge WBT +7%mellren · 0 maps
Cachemellren ban
50%50%
WBT · 2 mapsnearly even +0%mellren · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanWBT remove Inferno
2. Banmellren remove Cache
3. PickWBT take Anubis
4. Pickmellren take Mirage
5. Banmellren remove Nuke
6. BanWBT remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (55% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
WBT 34%mellren 66%
The model gave 66% on mellren — the map was taken by mellren.
Anubisprediction missed10:13
WBT 55%mellren 45%
The model gave 55% on WBT — the map was taken by mellren.
Model check result
Model favoriteWBT · 56%
Series resultmellren 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2