NODWIN Clutch Series 12 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Bushido Wildcats#73 in the world · win 1:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:0
WAZABI#95 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2WAZABI ban
72%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 32 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +22%WAZABI · 0 maps
MirageBushido Wildcats pick
54%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 22 mapsnearly even +4%WAZABI · 0 maps
Nukepossible decider
60%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 21 mapedge Bushido Wildcats +10%WAZABI · 0 maps
InfernoBushido Wildcats ban
38%40%
Bushido Wildcats · 9 mapsnearly even -2%WAZABI · 1 map
AnubisWAZABI pick
54%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 9 mapsnearly even +4%WAZABI · 0 maps
CacheBushido Wildcats ban
58%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 8 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +8%WAZABI · 0 maps
DefaultWAZABI ban
71%50%
Bushido Wildcats · 3 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +21%WAZABI · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBushido Wildcats remove Inferno
2. BanWAZABI remove Dust2
3. PickBushido Wildcats take Mirage
4. PickWAZABI take Anubis
5. BanWAZABI remove Default
6. BanBushido Wildcats remove Cache
DeciderNuke (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Bushido Wildcats 71%WAZABI 29%
The model gave 71% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 57%
Series resultBushido Wildcats 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1