CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
mellren#94 in the world · win 2:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:1
WBT#108 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2WBT ban
56%54%
mellren · 5 mapsnearly even +2%WBT · 9 maps
Miragemellren pick
78%54%
mellren · 5 mapsedge mellren +24%WBT · 9 maps
AnubisWBT pick
67%60%
mellren · 2 mapsedge mellren +7%WBT · 11 maps
Ancientpossible decider
56%55%
mellren · 5 mapsnearly even +1%WBT · 7 maps
InfernoWBT ban
56%60%
mellren · 5 mapsnearly even -4%WBT · 1 map
Nukemellren ban
50%57%
mellren · 0 mapsedge WBT +7%WBT · 3 maps
Cachemellren ban
50%50%
mellren · 0 mapsnearly even +0%WBT · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banmellren remove Cache
2. BanWBT remove Inferno
3. Pickmellren take Mirage
4. PickWBT take Anubis
5. BanWBT remove Dust2
6. Banmellren remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (56% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:8
mellren 77%WBT 23%
The model gave 77% on mellren — the map was taken by mellren.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
mellren 49%WBT 51%
The model gave 51% on WBT — the map was taken by WBT.
Anubisprediction correct13:7
mellren 57%WBT 43%
The model gave 57% on mellren — the map was taken by mellren.
Model check result
Model favoritemellren · 53%
Series resultmellren 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3