PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 East Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
5star#127 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:1
NEXVOID#121 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNEXVOID pick
24%78%
5star · 13 mapsedge NEXVOID +54%NEXVOID · 14 maps
Inferno5star ban
56%61%
5star · 12 mapsedge NEXVOID +5%NEXVOID · 14 maps
Nukepossible decider
59%40%
5star · 13 mapsedge 5star +19%NEXVOID · 6 maps
Cache5star pick
58%29%
5star · 8 mapsedge 5star +29%NEXVOID · 3 maps
Dust25star ban
50%36%
5star · 0 mapsedge 5star +14%NEXVOID · 7 maps
AnubisNEXVOID ban
71%50%
5star · 3 mapsedge 5star +21%NEXVOID · 2 maps
MirageNEXVOID ban
67%50%
5star · 5 mapsedge 5star +17%NEXVOID · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban5star remove Dust2
2. BanNEXVOID remove Mirage
3. Pick5star take Cache
4. PickNEXVOID take Ancient
5. BanNEXVOID remove Anubis
6. Ban5star remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (59% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
5star 50%NEXVOID 50%
The model gave 50% on 5star — the map was taken by NEXVOID.
Model check result
Model favoriteNEXVOID · 57%
Series resultNEXVOID 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1