PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 North America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
NRG#51 in the world · win 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Liquid#21 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheNRG pick
83%56%
NRG · 8 mapsedge NRG +27%Liquid · 5 maps
NukeLiquid pick
67%70%
NRG · 5 mapsnearly even -3%Liquid · 6 maps
AnubisNRG ban
50%62%
NRG · 0 mapsedge Liquid +12%Liquid · 9 maps
Dust2Liquid ban
71%50%
NRG · 3 mapsedge NRG +21%Liquid · 4 maps
Infernopossible decider
56%67%
NRG · 5 mapsedge Liquid +11%Liquid · 2 maps
MirageNRG ban
67%67%
NRG · 5 mapsnearly even +0%Liquid · 2 maps
AncientLiquid ban
50%50%
NRG · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Liquid · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNRG remove Anubis
2. BanLiquid remove Ancient
3. PickNRG take Cache
4. PickLiquid take Nuke
5. BanLiquid remove Dust2
6. BanNRG remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (56% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:10
NRG 53%Liquid 47%
The model gave 53% on NRG — the map was taken by NRG.
Nukeprediction missed13:9
NRG 43%Liquid 57%
The model gave 57% on Liquid — the map was taken by NRG.
Model check result
Model favoriteNRG · 52%
Series resultNRG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2