PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 North America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Voca#62 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Liquid#23 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisLiquid pick
57%62%
Voca · 3 mapsedge Liquid +5%Liquid · 9 maps
Dust2Voca pick
83%50%
Voca · 8 mapsedge Voca +33%Liquid · 4 maps
Nukepossible decider
44%64%
Voca · 5 mapsedge Liquid +20%Liquid · 7 maps
CacheVoca ban
40%56%
Voca · 6 mapsedge Liquid +16%Liquid · 5 maps
AncientLiquid ban
69%40%
Voca · 9 mapsedge Voca +29%Liquid · 1 map
MirageLiquid ban
78%67%
Voca · 5 mapsedge Voca +11%Liquid · 2 maps
InfernoVoca ban
50%67%
Voca · 0 mapsedge Liquid +17%Liquid · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanVoca remove Inferno
2. BanLiquid remove Ancient
3. PickVoca take Dust2
4. PickLiquid take Anubis
5. BanLiquid remove Mirage
6. BanVoca remove Cache
DeciderNuke (44% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
Voca 85%Liquid 15%
The model gave 85% on Voca — the map was taken by Voca.
Anubisprediction correct10:13
Voca 42%Liquid 58%
The model gave 58% on Liquid — the map was taken by Liquid.
Nukeprediction correct8:13
Voca 31%Liquid 69%
The model gave 69% on Liquid — the map was taken by Liquid.
Model check result
Model favoriteLiquid · 79%
Series resultLiquid 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3