PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nuclear TigeRES#45 in the world · win 2:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SINNERS#44 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNuclear TigeRES pick
70%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 19 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +20%SINNERS · 12 maps
Dust2SINNERS pick
37%68%
Nuclear TigeRES · 15 mapsedge SINNERS +31%SINNERS · 15 maps
Infernopossible decider
79%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 10 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +29%SINNERS · 8 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
20%60%
Nuclear TigeRES · 6 mapsedge SINNERS +40%SINNERS · 11 maps
AnubisSINNERS ban
55%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 16 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +5%SINNERS · 0 maps
CacheNuclear TigeRES ban
63%47%
Nuclear TigeRES · 4 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +16%SINNERS · 11 maps
NukeSINNERS ban
47%38%
Nuclear TigeRES · 11 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +9%SINNERS · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
2. BanSINNERS remove Anubis
3. PickNuclear TigeRES take Ancient
4. PickSINNERS take Dust2
5. BanSINNERS remove Nuke
6. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Cache
DeciderInferno (79% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:7
Nuclear TigeRES 19%SINNERS 81%
The model gave 81% on SINNERS — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Infernoprediction correct13:10
Nuclear TigeRES 81%SINNERS 19%
The model gave 81% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Model check result
Model favoriteSINNERS · 60%
Series resultNuclear TigeRES 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2