PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
1win#38 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
B8#15 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust21win pick
61%64%
1win · 27 mapsnearly even -3%B8 · 10 maps
AncientB8 pick
59%60%
1win · 18 mapsnearly even -1%B8 · 11 maps
Miragepossible decider
61%38%
1win · 14 mapsedge 1win +23%B8 · 9 maps
Anubis1win ban
33%50%
1win · 14 mapsedge B8 +17%B8 · 0 maps
Cache1win ban
57%67%
1win · 10 mapsedge B8 +10%B8 · 2 maps
InfernoB8 ban
67%56%
1win · 5 mapsedge 1win +11%B8 · 5 maps
DefaultB8 ban
57%50%
1win · 3 mapsedge 1win +7%B8 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban1win remove Anubis
2. BanB8 remove Default
3. Pick1win take Dust2
4. PickB8 take Ancient
5. BanB8 remove Inferno
6. Ban1win remove Cache
DeciderMirage (61% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
1win 50%B8 50%
The model gave 50% on B8 — the map was taken by B8.
Mirageprediction missed5:13
1win 69%B8 31%
The model gave 69% on 1win — the map was taken by B8.
Model check result
Model favorite1win · 55%
Series resultB8 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2