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Thunderpick World Championship 2026 · BO3
pre-match prediction
9z#17 in the world
series probability
32%68%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Falcons#5 in the world
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust29z pick
50%67%
9z · 6 mapsedge Falcons +17%Falcons · 11 maps
MirageFalcons ban
56%55%
9z · 5 mapsnearly even +1%Falcons · 7 maps
Nukepossible decider
38%57%
9z · 9 mapsedge Falcons +19%Falcons · 3 maps
InfernoFalcons pick
38%67%
9z · 4 mapsedge Falcons +29%Falcons · 5 maps
Ancient9z ban
33%40%
9z · 2 mapsedge Falcons +7%Falcons · 6 maps
Anubis9z ban
50%44%
9z · 0 mapsedge 9z +6%Falcons · 5 maps
CacheFalcons ban
50%50%
9z · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Falcons · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban9z remove Anubis
2. BanFalcons remove Cache
3. Pick9z take Dust2
4. PickFalcons take Inferno
5. BanFalcons remove Mirage
6. Ban9z remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (38% / 57%)