PGL Astana 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
9z#16 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:2
magic#40 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed9:13
9z 53%magic 47%
The model gave 53% on 9z — the map was taken by magic.
Mirageprediction missed13:2
9z 47%magic 53%
The model gave 53% on magic — the map was taken by 9z.
Ancientprediction missed11:13
9z 50%magic 50%
The model gave 50% on 9z — the map was taken by magic.
Model check result
Model favorite9z · 52%
Series resultmagic 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3