XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO5
result vs prediction
9z#17 in the world · win 3:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 3:0
PARIVISION#11 in the world · loss 0:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2PARIVISION pick
56%67%
9z · 14 mapsedge PARIVISION +11%PARIVISION · 8 maps
AncientPARIVISION pick
55%57%
9z · 7 mapsnearly even -2%PARIVISION · 10 maps
Miragepossible decider
36%55%
9z · 10 mapsedge PARIVISION +19%PARIVISION · 7 maps
Inferno9z pick
53%25%
9z · 11 mapsedge 9z +28%PARIVISION · 4 maps
NukePARIVISION ban
64%50%
9z · 10 mapsedge 9z +14%PARIVISION · 0 maps
Overpass9z pick
69%40%
9z · 9 mapsedge 9z +29%PARIVISION · 1 map
Anubis9z ban
40%33%
9z · 1 mapedge 9z +7%PARIVISION · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban9z remove Anubis
2. BanPARIVISION remove Nuke
3. Pick9z take Overpass
4. PickPARIVISION take Dust2
5. Pick9z take Inferno
6. PickPARIVISION take Ancient
DeciderMirage (36% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
9z 29%PARIVISION 71%
The model gave 71% on PARIVISION — the map was taken by 9z.
Infernoprediction correct13:10
9z 79%PARIVISION 21%
The model gave 79% on 9z — the map was taken by 9z.
Dust2prediction missed13:4
9z 36%PARIVISION 64%
The model gave 64% on PARIVISION — the map was taken by 9z.
Model check result
Model favorite9z · 74%
Series result9z 3:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3