CCT 2026 South America Series 7 · BO3
result vs predictionANA NATAloss 1:2
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:2
HHacha#210 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientA NATA pick
43%50%
A NATA · 3 mapsedge Hacha +7%Hacha · 0 maps
Dust2A NATA ban
33%60%
A NATA · 2 mapsedge Hacha +27%Hacha · 1 map
MirageHacha pick
60%60%
A NATA · 1 mapnearly even +0%Hacha · 1 map
DefaultHacha ban
50%40%
A NATA · 0 mapsedge A NATA +10%Hacha · 1 map
InfernoHacha ban
40%50%
A NATA · 1 mapedge Hacha +10%Hacha · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanA NATA remove Dust2
2. BanHacha remove Inferno
3. PickA NATA take Ancient
4. PickHacha take Mirage
5. BanHacha remove Default
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct10:13
A NATA 46%Hacha 54%
The model gave 54% on Hacha — the map was taken by Hacha.
Dust2prediction missed13:8
A NATA 23%Hacha 77%
The model gave 77% on Hacha — the map was taken by A NATA.
Mirageprediction missed4:13
A NATA 50%Hacha 50%
The model gave 50% on A NATA — the map was taken by Hacha.
Model check result
Model favoriteHacha · 52%
Series resultHacha 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3