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CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Acend#48 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
INOX Division#63 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoAcend pick
65%61%
Acend · 13 mapsnearly even +4%INOX Division · 27 maps
Ancientpossible decider
56%57%
Acend · 12 mapsnearly even -1%INOX Division · 19 maps
Dust2Acend ban
50%57%
Acend · 10 mapsedge INOX Division +7%INOX Division · 19 maps
NukeAcend ban
50%71%
Acend · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +21%INOX Division · 20 maps
CacheINOX Division ban
33%47%
Acend · 5 mapsedge INOX Division +14%INOX Division · 11 maps
AnubisINOX Division pick
44%64%
Acend · 5 mapsedge INOX Division +20%INOX Division · 7 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
44%50%
Acend · 12 mapsedge INOX Division +6%INOX Division · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAcend remove Nuke
2. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
3. PickAcend take Inferno
4. PickINOX Division take Anubis
5. BanINOX Division remove Cache
6. BanAcend remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (56% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed3:13
Acend 53%INOX Division 47%
The model gave 53% on Acend — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Dust2prediction missed13:9
Acend 41%INOX Division 59%
The model gave 59% on INOX Division — the map was taken by Acend.
Infernoprediction missed10:13
Acend 54%INOX Division 46%
The model gave 54% on Acend — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteAcend · 56%
Series resultINOX Division 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3