Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
ALGO#146 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Omega#148 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisALGO pick
36%50%
ALGO · 7 mapsedge Omega +14%Omega · 0 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%57%
ALGO · 4 mapsedge Omega +7%Omega · 3 maps
AncientOmega ban
57%57%
ALGO · 3 mapsnearly even +0%Omega · 3 maps
MirageOmega pick
29%43%
ALGO · 3 mapsedge Omega +14%Omega · 3 maps
Dust2ALGO ban
50%67%
ALGO · 0 mapsedge Omega +17%Omega · 5 maps
InfernoOmega ban
56%50%
ALGO · 5 mapsedge ALGO +6%Omega · 0 maps
OverpassALGO ban
33%29%
ALGO · 2 mapsnearly even +4%Omega · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanALGO remove Dust2
2. BanOmega remove Inferno
3. PickALGO take Anubis
4. PickOmega take Mirage
5. BanOmega remove Ancient
6. BanALGO remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (50% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct12:16
ALGO 32%Omega 68%
The model gave 68% on Omega — the map was taken by Omega.
Nukeprediction missed19:17
ALGO 46%Omega 54%
The model gave 54% on Omega — the map was taken by ALGO.
Ancientprediction missed6:13
ALGO 50%Omega 50%
The model gave 50% on ALGO — the map was taken by Omega.
Model check result
Model favoriteALGO · 59%
Series resultOmega 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3