CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
ALKA#129 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Red Feet#222 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageRed Feet ban
67%43%
ALKA · 2 mapsedge ALKA +24%Red Feet · 3 maps
NukeRed Feet ban
63%40%
ALKA · 4 mapsedge ALKA +23%Red Feet · 1 map
InfernoRed Feet pick
60%71%
ALKA · 1 mapedge Red Feet +11%Red Feet · 3 maps
Dust2possible decider
50%43%
ALKA · 0 mapsedge ALKA +7%Red Feet · 3 maps
AncientALKA pick
60%40%
ALKA · 1 mapedge ALKA +20%Red Feet · 1 map
DefaultALKA ban
40%60%
ALKA · 1 mapedge Red Feet +20%Red Feet · 1 map
AnubisALKA ban
40%50%
ALKA · 1 mapedge Red Feet +10%Red Feet · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanALKA remove Anubis
2. BanRed Feet remove Nuke
3. PickALKA take Ancient
4. PickRed Feet take Inferno
5. BanRed Feet remove Mirage
6. BanALKA remove Default
DeciderDust2 (50% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct7:13
ALKA 35%Red Feet 65%
The model gave 65% on Red Feet — the map was taken by Red Feet.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
ALKA 60%Red Feet 40%
The model gave 60% on ALKA — the map was taken by ALKA.
Mirageprediction missed7:13
ALKA 73%Red Feet 27%
The model gave 73% on ALKA — the map was taken by Red Feet.
Model check result
Model favoriteALKA · 58%
Series resultRed Feet 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3