XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Alliance#22 in the world · win 2:0series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 2:0
9z#17 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
50%59%
Alliance · 6 mapsedge 9z +9%9z · 13 maps
InfernoAlliance pick
80%58%
Alliance · 11 mapsedge Alliance +22%9z · 8 maps
NukeAlliance ban
57%55%
Alliance · 10 mapsnearly even +2%9z · 7 maps
Ancient9z ban
62%50%
Alliance · 9 mapsedge Alliance +12%9z · 6 maps
Overpass9z pick
29%69%
Alliance · 3 mapsedge 9z +40%9z · 9 maps
Anubis9z ban
36%40%
Alliance · 7 mapsnearly even -4%9z · 1 map
MirageAlliance ban
50%33%
Alliance · 0 mapsedge Alliance +17%9z · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAlliance remove Mirage
2. Ban9z remove Anubis
3. PickAlliance take Inferno
4. Pick9z take Overpass
5. Ban9z remove Ancient
6. BanAlliance remove Nuke
DeciderDust2 (50% / 59%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed16:14
Alliance 38%9z 62%
The model gave 62% on 9z — the map was taken by Alliance.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
Alliance 76%9z 24%
The model gave 76% on Alliance — the map was taken by Alliance.
Model check result
Model favorite9z · 78%
Series resultAlliance 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2