Tipsport Conquest of Prague 2026 Finals · BO3
result vs prediction
Alliance#22 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
EYEBALLERS#43 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientAlliance ban
33%60%
Alliance · 2 mapsedge EYEBALLERS +27%EYEBALLERS · 1 map
AnubisEYEBALLERS pick
40%60%
Alliance · 1 mapedge EYEBALLERS +20%EYEBALLERS · 1 map
Dust2EYEBALLERS ban
67%50%
Alliance · 2 mapsedge Alliance +17%EYEBALLERS · 0 maps
InfernoAlliance pick
50%50%
Alliance · 2 mapsnearly even +0%EYEBALLERS · 0 maps
NukeEYEBALLERS ban
50%50%
Alliance · 2 mapsnearly even +0%EYEBALLERS · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAlliance remove Ancient
2. BanEYEBALLERS remove Dust2
3. PickAlliance take Inferno
4. PickEYEBALLERS take Anubis
5. BanEYEBALLERS remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct8:13
Alliance 47%EYEBALLERS 53%
The model gave 53% on EYEBALLERS — the map was taken by EYEBALLERS.
Dust2prediction missed5:13
Alliance 69%EYEBALLERS 31%
The model gave 69% on Alliance — the map was taken by EYEBALLERS.
Model check result
Model favoriteAlliance · 53%
Series resultEYEBALLERS 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2