ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Alliance#22 in the world · win 2:0series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SAABloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeAlliance ban
40%50%
Alliance · 6 mapsedge SAAB +10%SAAB · 0 maps
InfernoSAAB ban
67%50%
Alliance · 5 mapsedge Alliance +17%SAAB · 0 maps
AnubisSAAB pick
38%50%
Alliance · 4 mapsedge SAAB +12%SAAB · 0 maps
Dust2Alliance pick
50%50%
Alliance · 4 mapsnearly even +0%SAAB · 0 maps
AncientSAAB ban
43%50%
Alliance · 3 mapsedge SAAB +7%SAAB · 0 maps
OverpassAlliance ban
40%50%
Alliance · 1 mapedge SAAB +10%SAAB · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAlliance remove Nuke
2. BanSAAB remove Inferno
3. PickAlliance take Dust2
4. PickSAAB take Anubis
5. BanSAAB remove Ancient
6. BanAlliance remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:1
Alliance 64%SAAB 36%
The model gave 64% on Alliance — the map was taken by Alliance.
Nukeprediction missed13:1
Alliance 43%SAAB 57%
The model gave 57% on SAAB — the map was taken by Alliance.
Model check result
Model favoriteAlliance · 85%
Series resultAlliance 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2