MaceMedia VOID Autumn Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Alter Ego#132 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Morningstarwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Alter Ego pick
63%33%
Alter Ego · 15 mapsedge Alter Ego +30%Morningstar · 2 maps
AncientMorningstar ban
69%33%
Alter Ego · 9 mapsedge Alter Ego +36%Morningstar · 2 maps
CacheMorningstar ban
60%40%
Alter Ego · 6 mapsedge Alter Ego +20%Morningstar · 1 map
InfernoAlter Ego ban
56%40%
Alter Ego · 5 mapsedge Alter Ego +16%Morningstar · 1 map
Miragepossible decider
63%50%
Alter Ego · 4 mapsedge Alter Ego +13%Morningstar · 0 maps
AnubisMorningstar pick
67%60%
Alter Ego · 2 mapsedge Alter Ego +7%Morningstar · 1 map
NukeAlter Ego ban
50%50%
Alter Ego · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Morningstar · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAlter Ego remove Nuke
2. BanMorningstar remove Ancient
3. PickAlter Ego take Dust2
4. PickMorningstar take Anubis
5. BanMorningstar remove Cache
6. BanAlter Ego remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (63% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Alter Ego 50%Morningstar 50%
The model gave 50% on Alter Ego — the map was taken by Morningstar.
Model check result
Model favoriteAlter Ego · 65%
Series resultMorningstar 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1