BC Game Masters Europe Season 2 Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
AM#72 in the world · win 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ASTRAL#90 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:8
AM 47%ASTRAL 53%
The model gave 53% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by AM.
Infernoprediction correct13:11
AM 53%ASTRAL 47%
The model gave 53% on AM — the map was taken by AM.
Model check result
Model favoriteAM · 52%
Series resultAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2