Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
ASTRAL#104 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Iberian Soul#57 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientASTRAL pick
56%50%
ASTRAL · 14 mapsedge ASTRAL +6%Iberian Soul · 14 maps
CacheIberian Soul ban
46%33%
ASTRAL · 9 mapsedge ASTRAL +13%Iberian Soul · 8 maps
MirageASTRAL ban
33%50%
ASTRAL · 5 mapsedge Iberian Soul +17%Iberian Soul · 12 maps
Nukepossible decider
54%67%
ASTRAL · 9 mapsedge Iberian Soul +13%Iberian Soul · 8 maps
InfernoIberian Soul pick
33%63%
ASTRAL · 2 mapsedge Iberian Soul +30%Iberian Soul · 12 maps
Dust2Iberian Soul ban
36%50%
ASTRAL · 7 mapsedge Iberian Soul +14%Iberian Soul · 0 maps
AnubisASTRAL ban
43%57%
ASTRAL · 3 mapsedge Iberian Soul +14%Iberian Soul · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanASTRAL remove Mirage
2. BanIberian Soul remove Dust2
3. PickASTRAL take Ancient
4. PickIberian Soul take Inferno
5. BanIberian Soul remove Cache
6. BanASTRAL remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (54% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed9:13
ASTRAL 66%Iberian Soul 34%
The model gave 66% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
ASTRAL 34%Iberian Soul 66%
The model gave 66% on Iberian Soul — the map was taken by Iberian Soul.
Model check result
Model favoriteIberian Soul · 64%
Series resultIberian Soul 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2