CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
ASTRAL#97 in the world · win 2:1series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:1
MASONIC#187 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientASTRAL pick
54%44%
ASTRAL · 9 mapsedge ASTRAL +10%MASONIC · 5 maps
Dust2possible decider
44%56%
ASTRAL · 5 mapsedge MASONIC +12%MASONIC · 5 maps
InfernoASTRAL ban
33%43%
ASTRAL · 5 mapsedge MASONIC +10%MASONIC · 3 maps
MirageMASONIC ban
55%50%
ASTRAL · 7 mapsedge ASTRAL +5%MASONIC · 0 maps
NukeMASONIC pick
57%63%
ASTRAL · 3 mapsedge MASONIC +6%MASONIC · 4 maps
AnubisMASONIC ban
60%50%
ASTRAL · 1 mapedge ASTRAL +10%MASONIC · 2 maps
OverpassASTRAL ban
50%50%
ASTRAL · 0 mapsnearly even +0%MASONIC · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanASTRAL remove Overpass
2. BanMASONIC remove Mirage
3. PickASTRAL take Ancient
4. PickMASONIC take Nuke
5. BanMASONIC remove Anubis
6. BanASTRAL remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (44% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct14:16
ASTRAL 37%MASONIC 63%
The model gave 63% on MASONIC — the map was taken by MASONIC.
Dust2prediction missed13:9
ASTRAL 42%MASONIC 58%
The model gave 58% on MASONIC — the map was taken by ASTRAL.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
ASTRAL 59%MASONIC 41%
The model gave 59% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by ASTRAL.
Model check result
Model favoriteASTRAL · 62%
Series resultASTRAL 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3