CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
ASTRAL#97 in the world · win 2:1series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Project 91#160 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientASTRAL pick
55%57%
ASTRAL · 7 mapsnearly even -2%Project 91 · 3 maps
MirageProject 91 pick
60%50%
ASTRAL · 6 mapsedge ASTRAL +10%Project 91 · 2 maps
InfernoASTRAL ban
33%40%
ASTRAL · 5 mapsedge Project 91 +7%Project 91 · 1 map
Dust2Project 91 ban
50%40%
ASTRAL · 4 mapsedge ASTRAL +10%Project 91 · 1 map
NukeProject 91 ban
57%40%
ASTRAL · 3 mapsedge ASTRAL +17%Project 91 · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanASTRAL remove Inferno
2. BanProject 91 remove Dust2
3. PickASTRAL take Ancient
4. PickProject 91 take Mirage
5. BanProject 91 remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:4
ASTRAL 44%Project 91 56%
The model gave 56% on Project 91 — the map was taken by ASTRAL.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
ASTRAL 63%Project 91 37%
The model gave 63% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by Project 91.
Anubisprediction correct13:7
ASTRAL 50%Project 91 50%
The model gave 50% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by ASTRAL.
Model check result
Model favoriteASTRAL · 71%
Series resultASTRAL 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3