Stake Pulse Beat III · BO3
pre-match prediction
Astralis#11 in the worldseries probability
67%33%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Sashi#132 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheSashi pick
76%60%
Astralis · 13 mapsedge Astralis +16%Sashi · 16 maps
Nukepossible decider
40%52%
Astralis · 11 mapsedge Sashi +12%Sashi · 17 maps
AncientAstralis pick
68%46%
Astralis · 18 mapsedge Astralis +22%Sashi · 9 maps
InfernoAstralis ban
38%54%
Astralis · 9 mapsedge Sashi +16%Sashi · 9 maps
Dust2Sashi ban
30%40%
Astralis · 6 mapsedge Sashi +10%Sashi · 11 maps
AnubisAstralis ban
33%67%
Astralis · 2 mapsedge Sashi +34%Sashi · 5 maps
MirageSashi ban
50%40%
Astralis · 6 mapsedge Astralis +10%Sashi · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAstralis remove Anubis
2. BanSashi remove Mirage
3. PickAstralis take Ancient
4. PickSashi take Cache
5. BanSashi remove Dust2
6. BanAstralis remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (40% / 52%)