CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Atreides#147 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Honvéd#144 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
65%48%
Atreides · 13 mapsedge Atreides +17%Honvéd · 25 maps
Dust2Atreides ban
44%53%
Atreides · 5 mapsedge Honvéd +9%Honvéd · 32 maps
AncientAtreides ban
46%47%
Atreides · 9 mapsnearly even -1%Honvéd · 13 maps
DefaultHonvéd pick
31%75%
Atreides · 12 mapsedge Honvéd +44%Honvéd · 8 maps
InfernoAtreides pick
53%33%
Atreides · 11 mapsedge Atreides +20%Honvéd · 8 maps
CacheHonvéd ban
40%36%
Atreides · 6 mapsnearly even +4%Honvéd · 10 maps
AnubisHonvéd ban
45%44%
Atreides · 7 mapsnearly even +1%Honvéd · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAtreides remove Dust2
2. BanHonvéd remove Cache
3. PickAtreides take Inferno
4. PickHonvéd take Default
5. BanHonvéd remove Anubis
6. BanAtreides remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (65% / 48%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
Atreides 39%Honvéd 61%
The model gave 61% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Ancientprediction missed11:13
Atreides 52%Honvéd 48%
The model gave 52% on Atreides — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Model check result
Model favoriteHonvéd · 69%
Series resultHonvéd 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2