CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Atreides#147 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:2
LPH#150 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientAtreides ban
47%60%
Atreides · 11 mapsedge LPH +13%LPH · 6 maps
MirageLPH ban
67%50%
Atreides · 17 mapsedge Atreides +17%LPH · 0 maps
InfernoAtreides pick
65%57%
Atreides · 13 mapsedge Atreides +8%LPH · 3 maps
Dust2Atreides ban
36%64%
Atreides · 7 mapsedge LPH +28%LPH · 7 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%43%
Atreides · 8 mapsedge Atreides +7%LPH · 3 maps
AnubisLPH ban
45%57%
Atreides · 7 mapsedge LPH +12%LPH · 3 maps
DefaultLPH pick
36%50%
Atreides · 10 mapsedge LPH +14%LPH · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAtreides remove Dust2
2. BanLPH remove Mirage
3. PickAtreides take Inferno
4. PickLPH take Default
5. BanLPH remove Anubis
6. BanAtreides remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (50% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed6:13
Atreides 61%LPH 39%
The model gave 61% on Atreides — the map was taken by LPH.
Ancientprediction missed13:11
Atreides 34%LPH 66%
The model gave 66% on LPH — the map was taken by Atreides.
Nukeprediction missed7:13
Atreides 57%LPH 43%
The model gave 57% on Atreides — the map was taken by LPH.
Model check result
Model favoriteLPH · 53%
Series resultLPH 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3