CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Atreides#147 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:2
SAW Youngsters#143 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageAtreides pick
81%50%
Atreides · 12 mapsedge Atreides +31%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
OverpassAtreides ban
43%50%
Atreides · 10 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +7%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
InfernoSAW Youngsters pick
58%60%
Atreides · 8 mapsnearly even -2%SAW Youngsters · 1 map
AncientSAW Youngsters ban
58%50%
Atreides · 8 mapsedge Atreides +8%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
55%50%
Atreides · 7 mapsedge Atreides +5%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
Dust2Atreides ban
36%50%
Atreides · 7 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +14%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
NukeSAW Youngsters ban
56%50%
Atreides · 5 mapsedge Atreides +6%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAtreides remove Dust2
2. BanSAW Youngsters remove Nuke
3. PickAtreides take Mirage
4. PickSAW Youngsters take Inferno
5. BanSAW Youngsters remove Ancient
6. BanAtreides remove Overpass
DeciderDefault (55% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:8
Atreides 83%SAW Youngsters 17%
The model gave 83% on Atreides — the map was taken by Atreides.
Infernoprediction correct11:13
Atreides 45%SAW Youngsters 55%
The model gave 55% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
Atreides 58%SAW Youngsters 42%
The model gave 58% on Atreides — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtreides · 62%
Series resultSAW Youngsters 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3