BLAST Open Porto 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Aurora#6 in the world · win 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DENDELE#41 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisAurora pick
62%71%
Aurora · 9 mapsedge DENDELE +9%DENDELE · 3 maps
Nukepossible decider
69%50%
Aurora · 9 mapsedge Aurora +19%DENDELE · 2 maps
CacheDENDELE pick
43%50%
Aurora · 3 mapsedge DENDELE +7%DENDELE · 4 maps
MirageAurora ban
56%50%
Aurora · 5 mapsedge Aurora +6%DENDELE · 2 maps
Dust2DENDELE ban
50%50%
Aurora · 6 mapsnearly even +0%DENDELE · 0 maps
InfernoDENDELE ban
57%50%
Aurora · 3 mapsedge Aurora +7%DENDELE · 2 maps
AncientAurora ban
40%33%
Aurora · 1 mapedge Aurora +7%DENDELE · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAurora remove Ancient
2. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
3. PickAurora take Anubis
4. PickDENDELE take Cache
5. BanDENDELE remove Inferno
6. BanAurora remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (69% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:7
Aurora 40%DENDELE 60%
The model gave 60% on DENDELE — the map was taken by Aurora.
Mirageprediction correct16:12
Aurora 58%DENDELE 42%
The model gave 58% on Aurora — the map was taken by Aurora.
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora · 73%
Series resultAurora 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2