StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Aurora#6 in the world · win 2:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeEcho pick
56%73%
Aurora · 12 mapsedge Echo +17%Echo · 7 maps
AnubisAurora pick
70%63%
Aurora · 6 mapsedge Aurora +7%Echo · 4 maps
Dust2Echo ban
43%50%
Aurora · 10 mapsedge Echo +7%Echo · 0 maps
OverpassEcho ban
67%40%
Aurora · 2 mapsedge Aurora +27%Echo · 6 maps
MirageAurora ban
57%50%
Aurora · 3 mapsedge Aurora +7%Echo · 4 maps
AncientAurora ban
50%60%
Aurora · 0 mapsedge Echo +10%Echo · 6 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%33%
Aurora · 0 mapsedge Aurora +17%Echo · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAurora remove Ancient
2. BanEcho remove Dust2
3. PickAurora take Anubis
4. PickEcho take Nuke
5. BanEcho remove Overpass
6. BanAurora remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (50% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:10
Aurora 64%Echo 36%
The model gave 64% on Aurora — the map was taken by Aurora.
Anubisprediction correct13:4
Aurora 61%Echo 39%
The model gave 61% on Aurora — the map was taken by Aurora.
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora · 82%
Series resultAurora 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2