CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Azuolas#191 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Noir Verse#124 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageNoir Verse pick
35%58%
Azuolas · 13 mapsedge Noir Verse +23%Noir Verse · 20 maps
Dust2Azuolas ban
29%50%
Azuolas · 3 mapsedge Noir Verse +21%Noir Verse · 20 maps
NukeNoir Verse ban
47%47%
Azuolas · 11 mapsnearly even +0%Noir Verse · 11 maps
Ancientpossible decider
40%53%
Azuolas · 6 mapsedge Noir Verse +13%Noir Verse · 15 maps
AnubisAzuolas ban
43%45%
Azuolas · 3 mapsnearly even -2%Noir Verse · 18 maps
CacheNoir Verse ban
60%50%
Azuolas · 1 mapedge Azuolas +10%Noir Verse · 14 maps
DefaultAzuolas pick
50%41%
Azuolas · 0 mapsedge Azuolas +9%Noir Verse · 13 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAzuolas remove Dust2
2. BanNoir Verse remove Nuke
3. PickAzuolas take Default
4. PickNoir Verse take Mirage
5. BanNoir Verse remove Cache
6. BanAzuolas remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (40% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct11:13
Azuolas 35%Noir Verse 65%
The model gave 65% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Nukeprediction missed4:13
Azuolas 53%Noir Verse 47%
The model gave 53% on Azuolas — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoir Verse · 60%
Series resultNoir Verse 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2