IEM Beijing 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
B8#15 in the world · win 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
EYEBALLERS#42 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientEYEBALLERS pick
53%73%
B8 · 13 mapsedge EYEBALLERS +20%EYEBALLERS · 7 maps
Miragepossible decider
14%33%
B8 · 10 mapsedge EYEBALLERS +19%EYEBALLERS · 5 maps
Dust2B8 pick
67%33%
B8 · 8 mapsedge B8 +34%EYEBALLERS · 2 maps
InfernoB8 ban
56%63%
B8 · 5 mapsedge EYEBALLERS +7%EYEBALLERS · 4 maps
CacheEYEBALLERS ban
60%29%
B8 · 1 mapedge B8 +31%EYEBALLERS · 3 maps
AnubisB8 ban
50%57%
B8 · 0 mapsedge EYEBALLERS +7%EYEBALLERS · 3 maps
NukeEYEBALLERS ban
67%40%
B8 · 2 mapsedge B8 +27%EYEBALLERS · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Anubis
2. BanEYEBALLERS remove Nuke
3. PickB8 take Dust2
4. PickEYEBALLERS take Ancient
5. BanEYEBALLERS remove Cache
6. BanB8 remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (14% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:9
B8 40%EYEBALLERS 60%
The model gave 60% on EYEBALLERS — the map was taken by B8.
Nukeprediction correct13:11
B8 77%EYEBALLERS 23%
The model gave 77% on B8 — the map was taken by B8.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 · 72%
Series resultB8 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2