RLG Tesla Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8#22 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 1:2
K27#44 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheB8 ban
56%52%
B8 · 5 mapsnearly even +4%K27 · 27 maps
MirageK27 pick
44%71%
B8 · 12 mapsedge K27 +27%K27 · 20 maps
AncientK27 ban
64%43%
B8 · 7 mapsedge B8 +21%K27 · 17 maps
Nukepossible decider
67%58%
B8 · 2 mapsedge B8 +9%K27 · 20 maps
Dust2B8 pick
67%38%
B8 · 8 mapsedge B8 +29%K27 · 12 maps
AnubisB8 ban
50%75%
B8 · 0 mapsedge K27 +25%K27 · 8 maps
InfernoK27 ban
50%50%
B8 · 6 mapsnearly even +0%K27 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Anubis
2. BanK27 remove Inferno
3. PickB8 take Dust2
4. PickK27 take Mirage
5. BanK27 remove Ancient
6. BanB8 remove Cache
DeciderNuke (67% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:5
B8 22%K27 78%
The model gave 78% on K27 — the map was taken by B8.
Dust2prediction missed6:13
B8 79%K27 21%
The model gave 79% on B8 — the map was taken by K27.
Nukeprediction missed6:13
B8 59%K27 41%
The model gave 59% on B8 — the map was taken by K27.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 · 65%
Series resultK27 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3