Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
B8#15 in the world · win 13:9series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 13:9
M80#27 in the world · loss 9:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientM80 ban
65%50%
B8 · 13 mapsedge B8 +15%M80 · 6 maps
Dust2M80 ban
67%50%
B8 · 11 mapsedge B8 +17%M80 · 6 maps
Miragepossible decider
43%56%
B8 · 10 mapsedge M80 +13%M80 · 5 maps
InfernoB8 ban
56%54%
B8 · 5 mapsnearly even +2%M80 · 9 maps
CacheB8 ban
63%70%
B8 · 4 mapsedge M80 +7%M80 · 6 maps
AnubisB8 ban
50%50%
B8 · 0 mapsnearly even +0%M80 · 2 maps
NukeM80 ban
67%50%
B8 · 2 mapsedge B8 +17%M80 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Anubis
2. BanM80 remove Nuke
3. BanB8 remove Inferno
4. BanM80 remove Dust2
5. BanB8 remove Cache
6. BanM80 remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (43% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
B8 38%M80 62%
The model gave 63% on M80 — the map was taken by B8.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 · 61%
Series resultB8 13:9
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1