CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
BAKS#99 in the world · win 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Azuolas#191 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheBAKS pick
63%60%
BAKS · 28 mapsnearly even +3%Azuolas · 1 map
NukeAzuolas pick
41%44%
BAKS · 13 mapsnearly even -3%Azuolas · 12 maps
Miragepossible decider
71%39%
BAKS · 10 mapsedge BAKS +32%Azuolas · 14 maps
Dust2Azuolas ban
41%29%
BAKS · 18 mapsedge BAKS +12%Azuolas · 3 maps
AncientAzuolas ban
64%33%
BAKS · 7 mapsedge BAKS +31%Azuolas · 11 maps
InfernoBAKS ban
31%40%
BAKS · 9 mapsedge Azuolas +9%Azuolas · 6 maps
AnubisBAKS ban
50%40%
BAKS · 0 mapsedge BAKS +10%Azuolas · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBAKS remove Anubis
2. BanAzuolas remove Dust2
3. PickBAKS take Cache
4. PickAzuolas take Nuke
5. BanAzuolas remove Ancient
6. BanBAKS remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (71% / 39%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:2
BAKS 56%Azuolas 44%
The model gave 56% on BAKS — the map was taken by BAKS.
Nukeprediction missed16:14
BAKS 44%Azuolas 56%
The model gave 56% on Azuolas — the map was taken by BAKS.
Model check result
Model favoriteBAKS · 65%
Series resultBAKS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2