CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
BAKS#106 in the world · win 2:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Saint Sinners pick
43%65%
BAKS · 19 mapsedge Saint Sinners +22%Saint Sinners · 19 maps
CacheSaint Sinners ban
61%40%
BAKS · 32 mapsedge BAKS +21%Saint Sinners · 1 map
NukeSaint Sinners ban
45%31%
BAKS · 16 mapsedge BAKS +14%Saint Sinners · 9 maps
MirageBAKS pick
71%50%
BAKS · 10 mapsedge BAKS +21%Saint Sinners · 14 maps
AncientBAKS ban
62%50%
BAKS · 9 mapsedge BAKS +12%Saint Sinners · 12 maps
InfernoBAKS ban
29%44%
BAKS · 10 mapsedge Saint Sinners +15%Saint Sinners · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
71%53%
BAKS · 3 mapsedge BAKS +18%Saint Sinners · 11 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBAKS remove Inferno
2. BanSaint Sinners remove Cache
3. PickBAKS take Mirage
4. PickSaint Sinners take Dust2
5. BanSaint Sinners remove Nuke
6. BanBAKS remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (71% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
BAKS 27%Saint Sinners 73%
The model gave 73% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by Saint Sinners.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
BAKS 74%Saint Sinners 26%
The model gave 74% on BAKS — the map was taken by BAKS.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
BAKS 62%Saint Sinners 38%
The model gave 62% on BAKS — the map was taken by BAKS.
Model check result
Model favoriteBAKS · 52%
Series resultBAKS 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3