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ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Banda Chuya#192 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:2
HYPERSPIRIT#147 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Banda Chuya pick
63%40%
Banda Chuya · 4 mapsedge Banda Chuya +23%HYPERSPIRIT · 6 maps
AncientHYPERSPIRIT ban
43%30%
Banda Chuya · 3 mapsedge Banda Chuya +13%HYPERSPIRIT · 6 maps
AnubisBanda Chuya ban
29%50%
Banda Chuya · 3 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +21%HYPERSPIRIT · 6 maps
CacheHYPERSPIRIT pick
33%55%
Banda Chuya · 2 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +22%HYPERSPIRIT · 7 maps
InfernoBanda Chuya ban
50%46%
Banda Chuya · 0 mapsnearly even +4%HYPERSPIRIT · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
30%57%
Banda Chuya · 6 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +27%HYPERSPIRIT · 3 maps
NukeHYPERSPIRIT ban
44%50%
Banda Chuya · 5 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +6%HYPERSPIRIT · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBanda Chuya remove Inferno
2. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Nuke
3. PickBanda Chuya take Dust2
4. PickHYPERSPIRIT take Cache
5. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Ancient
6. BanBanda Chuya remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (30% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
Banda Chuya 66%HYPERSPIRIT 34%
The model gave 66% on Banda Chuya — the map was taken by Banda Chuya.
Cacheprediction correct8:13
Banda Chuya 27%HYPERSPIRIT 73%
The model gave 73% on HYPERSPIRIT — the map was taken by HYPERSPIRIT.
Mirageprediction correct6:13
Banda Chuya 24%HYPERSPIRIT 76%
The model gave 76% on HYPERSPIRIT — the map was taken by HYPERSPIRIT.
Model check result
Model favoriteHYPERSPIRIT · 54%
Series resultHYPERSPIRIT 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3