ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
BASEMENT BOYS#96 in the world · win 2:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BASEMENT BOYS pick
67%50%
BASEMENT BOYS · 8 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +17%By Legends · 0 maps
AncientBy Legends ban
70%50%
BASEMENT BOYS · 6 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +20%By Legends · 0 maps
NukeBASEMENT BOYS ban
50%50%
BASEMENT BOYS · 6 mapsnearly even +0%By Legends · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%50%
BASEMENT BOYS · 4 mapsnearly even +0%By Legends · 0 maps
InfernoBy Legends pick
38%50%
BASEMENT BOYS · 4 mapsedge By Legends +12%By Legends · 0 maps
MirageBy Legends ban
63%50%
BASEMENT BOYS · 4 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +13%By Legends · 0 maps
OverpassBASEMENT BOYS ban
40%50%
BASEMENT BOYS · 1 mapedge By Legends +10%By Legends · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Overpass
2. BanBy Legends remove Ancient
3. PickBASEMENT BOYS take Dust2
4. PickBy Legends take Inferno
5. BanBy Legends remove Mirage
6. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:2
BASEMENT BOYS 35%By Legends 65%
The model gave 65% on By Legends — the map was taken by BASEMENT BOYS.
Nukeprediction correct13:5
BASEMENT BOYS 53%By Legends 47%
The model gave 53% on BASEMENT BOYS — the map was taken by BASEMENT BOYS.
Model check result
Model favoriteBASEMENT BOYS · 77%
Series resultBASEMENT BOYS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2