Parken Challenger Championship Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
BASEMENT BOYS#81 in the world · win 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MTX#184 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
BASEMENT BOYS 47%MTX 53%
The model gave 53% on MTX — the map was taken by BASEMENT BOYS.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
BASEMENT BOYS 53%MTX 47%
The model gave 53% on BASEMENT BOYS — the map was taken by BASEMENT BOYS.
Model check result
Model favoriteBASEMENT BOYS · 59%
Series resultBASEMENT BOYS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2